Match details. National League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 17:30 Lagos time. It is played at The New Lawn, Nailsworth.
What's at stake. Forest Green Rovers are 16th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Woking, level on points with Eastleigh. A win would take them above Woking. Hartlepool United are 22nd on 9 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Scunthorpe, 2 points clear of Solihull Moors. A win would take them above Scunthorpe.
Form. Forest Green Rovers have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D W. Hartlepool United have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Forest Green Rovers score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Forest Green Rovers average 6.4 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Hartlepool United score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and six games without a goal. Hartlepool United average 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Forest Green Rovers have won three, drawn two and lost one. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Forest Green Rovers won two, one was drawn and Hartlepool United won one. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished Forest Green Rovers 1-2 Hartlepool United.
The case against. Hartlepool United's record still gives them 28% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Forest Green Rovers to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Forest Green Rovers the likelier winners; Forest Green Rovers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Forest Green Rovers.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Hartlepool United Under 1.5 goals (Forest Green Rovers's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Hartlepool United (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).