Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 10. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. Chiclana CF have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. Sevilla FC C have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L D.
The numbers. Chiclana CF score 0.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chiclana CF average 11.0 shots (5.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 4.7 cards a game. Sevilla FC C score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Sevilla FC C average 7.0 shots (2.8 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, 92% on the records (Chiclana CF: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Sevilla FC C: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Chiclana CF or Draw at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Chiclana CF or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Chiclana CF 1UP (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Chiclana CF 0-0 Sevilla FC C (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).