Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Municipal de Amarante. The referee is Flavio Miguel Gomes Azevedo Duarte.
What's at stake. Amarante FC are 15th on 5 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Torreense, 1 point clear of Chaves. A win would take them above Torreense. Portimonense SC are 12th on 7 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Tondela, 1 point clear of Felgueiras 1932. A win would take them above Tondela.
Form. Amarante FC have won one, drawn two and lost three of their last six, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W D L. Portimonense SC have won two, drawn one and lost three of their last six, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D W.
The numbers. Amarante FC score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Portimonense SC score 0.7 and concede one a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Portimonense SC average 1.5 cards a game.
The case against. Portimonense SC's record still gives them 42% to win.
The read. Amarante FC or the draw. A tight game. Portimonense SC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 25%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Amarante FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Amarante FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 1.5 first-half goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Amarante FC 1-1 Portimonense SC (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Amarante FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.21
AMA 3 of 6 (50%) · POR 6 of 6 (100%)78.1%
Amarante FC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Portimonense SC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Amarante FC: only games against sides at Portimonense SC's level · Portimonense SC: only games against sides at Amarante FC's level
Amarante FC or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
1.34
AMA 4 of 6 (67%) · POR 4 of 6 (67%)64.6%
Amarante FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Portimonense SC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Amarante FC: only games against sides at Portimonense SC's level · Portimonense SC: only games against sides at Amarante FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AMA 6 of 6 (100%) · POR 6 of 6 (100%)96.5%
Amarante FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Portimonense SC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Amarante FC: only games against sides at Portimonense SC's level · Portimonense SC: only games against sides at Amarante FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
AMA 6 of 6 (100%) · POR 6 of 6 (100%)90.9%
Amarante FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Portimonense SC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Amarante FC: only games against sides at Portimonense SC's level · Portimonense SC: only games against sides at Amarante FC's level
AMARANTE FC GOALS
Amarante FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.34
AMA 4 of 6 (67%) · POR 4 of 6 (67%)68.4%
Amarante FC scored in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Portimonense SC conceded in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Amarante FC: only games against sides at Portimonense SC's level · Portimonense SC: only games against sides at Amarante FC's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.14
AMA 5 of 6 (83%) · POR 6 of 6 (100%)91.7%
Amarante FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Portimonense SC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · on half-time scores · Amarante FC: only games against sides at Portimonense SC's level · Portimonense SC: only games against sides at Amarante FC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.47
AMA 5 of 6 (83%) · POR 5 of 6 (83%)83.3%
Amarante FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Portimonense SC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · on half-time scores · Amarante FC: only games against sides at Portimonense SC's level · Portimonense SC: only games against sides at Amarante FC's level
Left off the list: Amarante FC or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Amarante FC or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Under 1.5 first-half goals (the numbers (59%) and the records (83%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.7%
Amarante FC goals →
Portimonense SC goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.8%
1-41.0%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 6
AMARANTE FCLLDWLD0.83 PPG
PORTIMONENSE SCWWDLLL1.17 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AMARANTE FC HOMExPORTIMONENSE SC AWAY
0.83SCORED A GAME0.671.33CONCEDED A GAME1.0033%CLEAN SHEETS33%33%FAILED TO SCORE50%
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
PORTIMONENSE SC 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.83POINTS A GAME1.20-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.40–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
100%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AMARANTE FC OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
PORTIMONENSE SC OR DRAW
59%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AMARANTE FCxPORTIMONENSE SC
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME0.601.20CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.640%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%40%BOTH SCORE0%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Amarante FC failed to score in 33% of their games.
Portimonense SC failed to score in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstleague table