Carlisle United vs Kidderminster Harriers FC
Match details. National League, Regular Season - 13. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Brunton Park, Carlisle.
What's at stake. Carlisle United are 14th on 16 points after 12 games, 1 point behind FC Halifax Town, 1 point clear of Woking. A win would take them above FC Halifax Town. Kidderminster Harriers FC are 8th on 19 points after 12 games, 1 point behind AFC Fylde, 1 point clear of Barrow. A win would take them above AFC Fylde.
Form. Carlisle United have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D. In this competition Carlisle United have gone W W L L D D. Kidderminster Harriers FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L D W. In this competition Kidderminster Harriers FC have gone D L L D W W.
The numbers. Carlisle United score 2.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Carlisle United average 6.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Kidderminster Harriers FC score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Kidderminster Harriers FC average 3.5 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The case against. Kidderminster Harriers FC's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Carlisle United to win. An open game. Kidderminster Harriers FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 75% on the records (Carlisle United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Kidderminster Harriers FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: Carlisle United Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Carlisle United are a clear winner, no Unders); Kidderminster Harriers FC Under 1.5 goals (Carlisle United's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (Carlisle United are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Carlisle United 2-1 Kidderminster Harriers FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).