STSWI

12:30Sat 10 Oct

CRE

Swindon Town vs Crewe Alexandra

CLASS E

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THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class E

STv

Under 3.5 Goals

Swindon Town v Crewe Alexandra

England - League Two · 12:30

1.43odds

70%book

+10edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at County Ground, Swindon.

What's at stake. Swindon Town are 13th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Tranmere, level on points with Shrewsbury. A win would take them above Tranmere. Crewe Alexandra are 3rd on 15 points after 9 games, level on points with Barnet, level on points with Cheltenham. A win would take them above Barnet.

Form. Swindon Town have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Crewe Alexandra have won two, drawn seven and lost one of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D.

The numbers. Swindon Town score 1.7 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. Swindon Town average 6.0 shots (2.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Crewe Alexandra score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Crewe Alexandra average 7.6 shots (2.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Swindon Town have won three, drawn three and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Swindon Town won one, two were drawn and Crewe Alexandra won one. The last time they met, on 21 Feb 2026, it finished Swindon Town 1-2 Crewe Alexandra: Swindon Town had 21 shots to 7, 57% of the ball, two yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.43, 74% on the records (Swindon Town: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8; Crewe Alexandra: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Crewe Alexandra or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Crewe Alexandra 1UP (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Swindon Town 1-1 Crewe Alexandra (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Crewe Alexandra or draw and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

2.05

SWI 4 of 8 (50%) · CRE 5 of 7 (71%)59.2%

Swindon Town: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 4 of 6 · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level · rule 2: the meetings back Crewe Alexandra: in the last 10 meetings, Swindon Town won 3, Crewe Alexandr

Double Chance: Draw or Crewe AlexandraLEANPAGE ONLY

1.46

SWI 7 of 7 (100%) · CRE 5 of 8 (62%)58%

Crewe Alexandra unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Swindon Town failed to win 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · H2H 5 of 6 · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES

1.16

SWI 8 of 8 (100%) · CRE 7 of 7 (100%)91%

Swindon Town: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.43

SWI 5 of 8 (62%) · CRE 5 of 7 (71%)80.5%

Swindon Town: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · H2H 5 of 6 · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

2.05

SWI 3 of 8 (38%) · CRE 5 of 7 (71%)58%

Swindon Town: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · H2H 2 of 6 · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level

SWINDON TOWN GOALS

Swindon Town Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.60

SWI 5 of 8 (62%) · CRE 6 of 7 (86%)64.2%

Swindon Town scored under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · H2H 4 of 6 · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level

CREWE ALEXANDRA GOALS

Crewe Alexandra Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 79%

1.26

SWI 6 of 7 (86%) · CRE 8 of 8 (100%)59.1%

Crewe Alexandra scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Swindon Town conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 6 · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

SWI 6 of 8 (75%) · CRE 6 of 7 (86%)76.9%

Swindon Town: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Crewe Alexandra: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Swindon Town: only games against sides at Crewe Alexandra's level · Crewe Alexandra: only games against sides at Swindon Town's level

Left off the list: Crewe Alexandra or Under 2.5 Goals (no side to back); Crewe Alexandra 1UP (no side to back); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.3%

Swindon Town goals →

Crewe Alexandra goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41.0%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SWINDON TOWNWLWWLLLLDL1.00 PPG

CREWE ALEXANDRALDDDDDWDWD1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SWINDON TOWN HOMExCREWE ALEXANDRA AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.701.70CONCEDED A GAME1.300%CLEAN SHEETS10%56%FAILED TO SCORE11%4.11CORNERS A GAME4.101.89CARDS A GAME1.401.33xG1.542.05xG AGAINST2.16

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

SWINDON TOWN 3:0 HANDICAP

–

134 OF 142

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO

–

138 OF 151

NO PRICE YET

The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.22POINTS A GAME1.67-0.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.44-1.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.90.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES9

Crewe Alexandra: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

37%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

99%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SWINDON TOWN OR DRAW

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

CREWE ALEXANDRA OR DRAW

64%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SWINDON TOWNxCREWE ALEXANDRA

5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.401.60CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE100%2.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.212.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SWINDON TOWN 3 · 30%DRAW 3CREWE ALEXANDRA 4 · 40%

5 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

7 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-02-20Swindon Town 2 – 1 Crewe Alexandra

2021-11-06Swindon Town 3 – 0 Crewe Alexandra

2022-11-19Swindon Town 0 – 1 Crewe Alexandra

2023-04-29Swindon Town 1 – 2 Crewe Alexandra

2023-08-12Swindon Town 2 – 2 Crewe Alexandra

2024-01-13Swindon Town 1 – 2 Crewe Alexandra

2024-08-24Swindon Town 0 – 0 Crewe Alexandra

2025-01-11Swindon Town 0 – 0 Crewe Alexandra

TRENDS

Swindon Town have scored in 50% of their games.

Crewe Alexandra have scored in 90% of their games.

Swindon Town kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Crewe Alexandra kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards