Oldham Athletic vs Accrington Stanley
Match details. League Two, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Boundary Park, Oldham.
What's at stake. Oldham Athletic are 21st on 7 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Exeter City, 1 point clear of Northampton. A win would take them above Exeter City. Accrington Stanley are 16th on 10 points after 9 games, level on points with Newport County, level on points with Rotherham. A win would take them above Newport County.
Form. Oldham Athletic have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L. Accrington Stanley have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D D.
The numbers. Oldham Athletic score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Oldham Athletic average 7.0 shots (1.7 on target), 6.0 corners and 0.7 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Accrington Stanley score 1.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Accrington Stanley average 4.8 shots (2.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game, with 46% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Oldham Athletic have won one, drawn none and lost three. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Oldham Athletic 3-0 Accrington Stanley: Oldham Athletic had 9 shots to 7, 48% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Oldham Athletic the likelier winners, but Accrington Stanley are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Accrington Stanley. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%; three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Not everything agrees on goals: three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.39, 73% on the records (Oldham Athletic: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8; Accrington Stanley: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Accrington Stanley or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Oldham Athletic Under 1.5 goals (Accrington Stanley's own games don't back it (3 of 8)). Predicted score: Oldham Athletic 1-1 Accrington Stanley (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).