Match details. Liga Portugal 2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio João Cardoso, Tondela. The referee is Vitor Jorge Fernandes Ferreira.
What's at stake. CD Tondela are 11th on 9 points after 6 games, level on points with AVS, 2 points clear of Portimonense. A win would take them above AVS. SCU Torreense are 14th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Felgueiras 1932, 1 point clear of Amarante. A win would take them above Felgueiras 1932.
Form. CD Tondela have won three, drawn none and lost three of their last six, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L L. SCU Torreense have won one, drawn three and lost two of their last six, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D D.
The numbers. CD Tondela score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Tondela average 10.4 shots (3.9 on target), 4.7 corners and 3.2 cards a game. SCU Torreense score 1.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. SCU Torreense average 10.8 shots (3.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings CD Tondela have won three, drawn three and lost one. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD Tondela won two, one was drawn and SCU Torreense won one. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2025, it finished CD Tondela 2-2 SCU Torreense: three yellow cards.
The case against. SCU Torreense's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. CD Tondela to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Tondela the likelier winners; CD Tondela are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour CD Tondela. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%. Four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: CD Tondela or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); CD Tondela Over 0.5 goals (CD Tondela's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); SCU Torreense Under 1.5 goals (SCU Torreense's own games don't back it (3 of 6)). Predicted score: CD Tondela 1-0 SCU Torreense (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).