Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Showgrounds, Limavady.
What's at stake. Limavady United FC are 10th on 9 points after 9 games, 3 points behind Cliftonville FC, 4 points clear of Bangor. A win would take them level on points with Cliftonville FC. Ballymena United are 8th on 12 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Dungannon Swifts, level on points with Cliftonville FC. A win would take them above Dungannon Swifts.
Form. Limavady United FC have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W W. Ballymena United have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.
The numbers. Limavady United FC score 0.8 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Limavady United FC average 4.9 shots (2.0 on target), 2.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Ballymena United score 1.7 and concede 1.6 a game in their last seven away, with two clean sheets. Ballymena United average 7.5 shots (2.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The case against. Limavady United FC's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Ballymena United to win. Ballymena United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ballymena United.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ballymena United to Win Either Half: Yes (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Limavady United FC 0-1 Ballymena United (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).