CFCRU

15:00Sat 10 Oct

LAR

Crusaders FC vs Larne FC

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premiership, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Seaview, Belfast.

What's at stake. Crusaders FC are 5th on 15 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Larne, 2 points clear of Carrick Rangers. A win would take them above Larne. Larne FC are 4th on 16 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Glentoran, 1 point clear of Crusaders FC. A win would take them above Glentoran.

Form. Crusaders FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. In this competition Crusaders FC have gone L W L W L L. Larne FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. Crusaders FC score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Crusaders FC average 3.9 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Larne FC score two and concede 0.6 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. Larne FC average 10.7 shots (5.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Crusaders FC have won two, drawn two and lost six. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Larne FC won three. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2026, it finished Crusaders FC 2-4 Larne FC.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The case against. Crusaders FC's record still gives them 30% to win.

The read. Larne FC to win. Larne FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Larne FC; the meetings favour Larne FC.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (Larne FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Larne FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Larne FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Larne FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Crusaders FC 0-1 Larne FC (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Larne FC or Over 2.5 GoalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY

1.15

CRU 5 of 6 (83%) · LAR 5 of 5 (100%)90.9%

Larne FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Crusaders FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 92% · H2H 5 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level · Crusaders FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Larne FC: in the last 10 meetings, Crusaders FC won 2, Larne FC won 6 and 2 were drawn; in the last 4, Larne FC

Larne FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRU 5 of 6 (83%) · LAR 5 of 5 (100%)90.9%

Larne FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.09

CRU 6 of 6 (100%) · LAR 1 of 5 (20%)72.9%

Larne FC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Crusaders FC: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level · Crusaders FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level

Larne FC 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRU 5 of 5 (100%) · LAR 5 of 6 (83%)69%

Larne FC scored first 5 of last 5, led in 5 · led in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Crusaders FC trailed in 2 of 5 at home · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level

Larne FC or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRU 5 of 5 (100%) · LAR 6 of 6 (100%)69%

Larne FC scored first 5 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Crusaders FC trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level

Larne FC (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 88%

1.14

CRU 5 of 5 (100%) · LAR 1 of 5 (20%)66.9%

Larne FC won 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Crusaders FC lost 1 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 5 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level · Crusaders FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 4

Larne FC to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.37

CRU 5 of 6 (83%) · LAR 1 of 5 (20%)55.3%

Larne FC won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Crusaders FC lost 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 67% · H2H 4 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level · Crusaders FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRU 5 of 5 (100%) · LAR 5 of 6 (83%)92.8%

Crusaders FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Larne FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 6 of 6 · Crusaders FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.18

CRU 5 of 5 (100%) · LAR 4 of 6 (67%)70.6%

Crusaders FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Larne FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 6 · Crusaders FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level

LARNE FC GOALS

Larne FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRU 5 of 6 (83%) · LAR 4 of 5 (80%)78%

Larne FC scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Crusaders FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 87% · H2H 5 of 6 · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level · Crusaders FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.27

CRU 4 of 5 (80%) · LAR 3 of 6 (50%)73.8%

Crusaders FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Larne FC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Crusaders FC: only games against sides at Larne FC's level · Larne FC: only games against sides at Crusaders FC's level

Left off the list: Under 3.5 Goals (Larne FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Larne FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Larne FC or draw and under 3.5 goals (Larne FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Larne FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 9.7%

Crusaders FC goals →

Larne FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31.0%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

CRUSADERS FCLWWWLLWLWL1.50 PPG

LARNE FCDDDWLWWWWW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CRUSADERS FC HOMExLARNE FC AWAY

1.50SCORED A GAME1.501.80CONCEDED A GAME0.6010%CLEAN SHEETS60%20%FAILED TO SCORE17%3.90CORNERS A GAME4.671.90CARDS A GAME1.89

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR LARNE FC (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME2.67-0.30GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.50-3.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+8.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.010LEAGUE GAMES6

Larne FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).

LARNE FC 0:2 HANDICAP

–

373 OF 433

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

71%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

75%

NO · 85/90

CRUSADERS FC OR DRAW

61%

NO · 80/85

LARNE FC OR DRAW

56%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CRUSADERS FCxLARNE FC

5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.401.60CONCEDED A GAME0.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE40%4.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–10.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

CRUSADERS FC 2 · 20%DRAW 2LARNE FC 6 · 60%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

5 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-12-15Crusaders FC 0 – 3 Larne FC

2024-01-12Crusaders FC 0 – 2 Larne FC

2024-04-06Crusaders FC 1 – 0 Larne FC

2024-10-19Crusaders FC 1 – 1 Larne FC

2025-01-07Crusaders FC 1 – 3 Larne FC

2025-02-08Crusaders FC 1 – 0 Larne FC

2025-04-05Crusaders FC 2 – 2 Larne FC

2025-09-16Crusaders FC 0 – 4 Larne FC

TRENDS

Crusaders FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Larne FC have scored in 70% of their games.

Crusaders FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Larne FC kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards