Match details. Chinese Super League, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:35 Lagos time. It is played at Shanghai Stadium.
What's at stake. Shanghai Shenhua FC are 8th on 31 points after 26 games, 2 points behind SHANGHAI SIPG, level on points with Chongqing Tongliang Long. A win would take them above SHANGHAI SIPG. Yunnan Yukun are 4th on 38 points after 26 games, level on points with Beijing Guoan, level on points with Qingdao Youth Island. A win would take them above Beijing Guoan.
Form. Shanghai Shenhua FC have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. Yunnan Yukun have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D W.
The numbers. Shanghai Shenhua FC score 1.8 and concede 1.9 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Shanghai Shenhua FC average 16.5 shots (6.1 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Yunnan Yukun score 2.4 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Yunnan Yukun average 15.8 shots (5.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Shanghai Shenhua FC have won two, drawn one and lost one. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished Shanghai Shenhua FC 0-1 Yunnan Yukun: Shanghai Shenhua FC had 12 shots to 13, 44% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Shanghai Shenhua FC the likelier winners, but Yunnan Yukun are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yunnan Yukun.
The case against. Yunnan Yukun's record still gives them 46% to win.
The read. Shanghai Shenhua FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Shanghai Shenhua FC the likelier winners; Yunnan Yukun are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yunnan Yukun. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 80%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Shanghai Shenhua FC are a clear winner, no Unders); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Shanghai Shenhua FC Over 1.5 goals (Shanghai Shenhua FC's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Shanghai Shenhua FC 2-1 Yunnan Yukun (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).