Match details. Chinese Super League. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 12:35 Lagos time.
Form. Chengdu Rongcheng have won two, drawn six and lost two of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.
The numbers. Chengdu Rongcheng score two and concede two a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Chengdu Rongcheng average 6.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score 1.7 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger average 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's record still gives them 40% to win.
The read. Chengdu Rongcheng to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Chengdu Rongcheng the likelier winners. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.22, 78% on the records (Chengdu Rongcheng: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Leave: Chengdu Rongcheng Over 0.5 goals (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Chengdu Rongcheng are a clear winner, no Unders); Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Under 1.5 goals (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's own games don't back it (4 of 10)). Predicted score: Chengdu Rongcheng 2-1 Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.22
CHE 5 of 5 (100%) · TIA 8 of 10 (80%)74.1%
Chengdu Rongcheng: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Chengdu Rongcheng: only games against sides at Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's level · Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: only games against sides at Chengdu Rongcheng's level
Left off the list: Chengdu Rongcheng Over 0.5 goals (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Under 4.5 Goals (Chengdu Rongcheng are a clear winner - no Unders); Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Under 1.5 goals (Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's own games don't back it (4 of 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (Chengdu Rongcheng are a clear winner - no Unders)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.9%
Chengdu Rongcheng goals →
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger goals ↓
0-07%
1-011%
2-010%
3-06%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-111%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-23%
1-25%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-30.9%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.2%
0-40.2%
1-40.4%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
CHENGDU RONGCHENGDWLWLDDDDD1.20 PPG
TIANJIN JINMEN TIGERWWDDLLWWWW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CHENGDU RONGCHENG HOMExTIANJIN JINMEN TIGER AWAY
1.96SCORED A GAME1.381.15CONCEDED A GAME1.2310%CLEAN SHEETS50%6.35CORNERS A GAME4.502.27CARDS A GAME1.81
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
CHENGDU RONGCHENG TO SCORE
–
136 OF 144
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner in a league averaging 2.9+ goals a game.
CHENGDU RONGCHENG OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
NO PRICE YET
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.20POINTS A GAME2.00+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.70–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.610LEAGUE GAMES10
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
78%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
40%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
CHENGDU RONGCHENG OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
TIANJIN JINMEN TIGER OR DRAW
77%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CHENGDU RONGCHENGxTIANJIN JINMEN TIGER
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.201.80CONCEDED A GAME1.203.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Chengdu Rongcheng have scored in 80% of their games.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger have scored in 90% of their games.
Chengdu Rongcheng kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards