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JAPAN - J1 LEAGUE
Kyoto Sanga FC crestKSKYO
11:00Sat 10 Oct
MACMachida Zelvia crestMZ

Kyoto Sanga FC vs Machida Zelvia

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time. It is played at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kyoto.

What's at stake. Kyoto Sanga FC are 14th on 8 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Mito Hollyhock, level on points with V-varen Nagasaki. A win would take them above Mito Hollyhock. Machida Zelvia are 4th on 17 points after 8 games, level on points with Sanfrecce Hiroshima, level on points with FC Tokyo. A win would take them above Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Form. Kyoto Sanga FC have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L L. Machida Zelvia have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D.

The numbers. Kyoto Sanga FC score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Kyoto Sanga FC average 9.4 shots (3.5 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Machida Zelvia score 1.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Machida Zelvia average 11.2 shots (4.6 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.

Head to head. In the last nine meetings Kyoto Sanga FC have won four, drawn one and lost four. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Kyoto Sanga FC won one, one was drawn and Machida Zelvia won two. The last time they met, on 23 Sep 2025, it finished Kyoto Sanga FC 1-1 Machida Zelvia: Kyoto Sanga FC had 19 shots to 9, 70% of the ball, four yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.

The case against. Kyoto Sanga FC's record still gives them 27% to win.

The read. Machida Zelvia to win. Machida Zelvia are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Machida Zelvia.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Machida Zelvia to Win Either Half: Yes (the signs point different ways); Kyoto Sanga FC Under 1.5 goals (Kyoto Sanga FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Machida Zelvia or draw and over 1.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Kyoto Sanga FC 0-1 Machida Zelvia (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Machida Zelvia or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.36
KYO 4 of 6 (67%) · MAC 5 of 6 (83%)73.7%
Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 5 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
Machida Zelvia or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
KYO 5 of 6 (83%) · MAC 4 of 6 (67%)70%
Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
Double Chance: Draw or Machida ZelviaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.28
KYO 5 of 6 (83%) · MAC 4 of 6 (67%)65%
Machida Zelvia unbeaten in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC failed to win 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
Machida Zelvia (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
KYO 6 of 7 (86%) · MAC 3 of 5 (60%)57.7%
Machida Zelvia won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Kyoto Sanga FC lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 5 · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · won 3, refunded 1, lost 3
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
KYO 5 of 6 (83%) · MAC 5 of 6 (83%)91.8%
Kyoto Sanga FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Machida Zelvia: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 6 of 6 · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.39
KYO 4 of 6 (67%) · MAC 3 of 6 (50%)74.7%
Kyoto Sanga FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Machida Zelvia: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 58% · H2H 6 of 6 · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.28
KYO 6 of 6 (100%) · MAC 6 of 6 (100%)73.3%
Kyoto Sanga FC: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Machida Zelvia: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 6 · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level
KYOTO SANGA FC GOALS
Kyoto Sanga FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.41
KYO 5 of 6 (83%) · MAC 6 of 6 (100%)69.5%
Kyoto Sanga FC scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Machida Zelvia conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · H2H 3 of 6 · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level
MACHIDA ZELVIA GOALS
Machida Zelvia Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.21
KYO 6 of 6 (100%) · MAC 6 of 6 (100%)70.9%
Machida Zelvia scored in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Kyoto Sanga FC conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.37
KYO 4 of 6 (67%) · MAC 5 of 6 (83%)72.9%
Kyoto Sanga FC: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Kyoto Sanga FC: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Kyoto Sanga FC's level
Left off the list: Machida Zelvia to Win Either Half: Yes (the numbers (44%) and the records (71%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Kyoto Sanga FC Under 1.5 goals (Kyoto Sanga FC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Machida Zelvia or draw and over 1.5 goals (the numbers (41%) and the records (65%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Machida Zelvia 1UP (the numbers (47%) and the records (59%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Machida Zelvia or draw and both teams score (the numbers (32%) and the records (54%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Machida Zelvia or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (66%) and the records (89%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Machida Zelvia or Over 1.5 Goals (the numbers (79%) and the records (100%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Machida Zelvia win or both teams score (the numbers (67%) and the records (100%) are 33 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 9.4%
Kyoto Sanga FC goals →
Machida Zelvia goals ↓
0-010%
1-011%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10
KYOTO SANGA FCLWWDLLLWWD1.40 PPG
MACHIDA ZELVIAWWDWWDWLWD2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KYOTO SANGA FC HOMExMACHIDA ZELVIA AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.901.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS30%12%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.38CORNERS A GAME4.601.50CARDS A GAME1.201.40xG2.202.59xG AGAINST1.36
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.00POINTS A GAME2.12-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.38+0.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES8
Machida Zelvia: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
79%
VERY GOOD · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
82%
NO · 85/90
KYOTO SANGA FC OR DRAW
32%
NO · 80/85
MACHIDA ZELVIA OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
KYOTO SANGA FCxMACHIDA ZELVIA
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.801.60CONCEDED A GAME1.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE100%4.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 9
KYOTO SANGA FC 4 · 44%DRAW 1MACHIDA ZELVIA 4 · 44%
3 of 9BOTH TEAMS SCORED
5 of 9OVER 1.5 GOALS
4 of 9OVER 2.5 GOALS
0 of 9OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-08-02Kyoto Sanga FC 1 – 0 Machida Zelvia
2020-10-14Kyoto Sanga FC 0 – 3 Machida Zelvia
2021-04-11Kyoto Sanga FC 1 – 0 Machida Zelvia
2021-08-09Kyoto Sanga FC 2 – 1 Machida Zelvia
2024-05-06Kyoto Sanga FC 0 – 3 Machida Zelvia
2024-11-30Kyoto Sanga FC 0 – 1 Machida Zelvia
2025-05-07Kyoto Sanga FC 2 – 1 Machida Zelvia
2025-08-06Kyoto Sanga FC 0 – 1 Machida Zelvia
TRENDS
Kyoto Sanga FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Machida Zelvia have scored in 90% of their games.
Kyoto Sanga FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Machida Zelvia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards
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