Qingdao Hainiu FC vs Beijing Guoan
Match details. Chinese Super League, Regular Season - 27. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 12:35 Lagos time. It is played at Qingdao Youth Football Stadium.
What's at stake. Qingdao Hainiu FC are 16th on 14 points after 26 games, 7 points behind Wuhan Three Towns. Beijing Guoan are 3rd on 38 points after 26 games, 2 points behind Dalian Zhixing, level on points with Yunnan Yukun. A win would take them above Dalian Zhixing.
Form. Qingdao Hainiu FC have won none, drawn none and lost ten of their last ten, 0.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Beijing Guoan have won six, drawn four and lost none of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D.
The numbers. Qingdao Hainiu FC score 0.8 and concede 2.9 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Qingdao Hainiu FC average 14.5 shots (3.5 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Beijing Guoan score 2.2 and concede one a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. Beijing Guoan average 12.5 shots (4.9 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Qingdao Hainiu FC have won two, drawn two and lost three. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Qingdao Hainiu FC won one, one was drawn and Beijing Guoan won two. The last time they met, on 15 May 2026, it finished Qingdao Hainiu FC 2-4 Beijing Guoan: Qingdao Hainiu FC had 10 shots to 22, 34% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%. Not everything agrees on goals: four of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Beijing Guoan to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Beijing Guoan the likelier winners; Beijing Guoan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Beijing Guoan.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Beijing Guoan at 1.11, 96% on the records (Beijing Guoan unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; Qingdao Hainiu FC failed to win 9 of 9). Backup: Beijing Guoan or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Under 3.5 Goals (Beijing Guoan are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Beijing Guoan are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Qingdao Hainiu FC 0-2 Beijing Guoan (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).