Match details. EFL Trophy. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Port Vale have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L L. Mansfield Town have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. Port Vale score 0.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Port Vale average 7.5 shots (2.6 on target) and 1.6 cards a game. Mansfield Town score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Mansfield Town average 6.7 shots (3.1 on target) and 2.2 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Port Vale 1-2 Mansfield Town (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
POR 9 of 10 (90%) · MAN 9 of 10 (90%)91.5%
Port Vale: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mansfield Town: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
POR 7 of 10 (70%) · MAN 8 of 10 (80%)72.4%
Port Vale: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mansfield Town: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.2%
Port Vale goals →
Mansfield Town goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
PORT VALEDLWLLDDLLL0.60 PPG
MANSFIELD TOWNDDLLWLLWLW1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
PORT VALE HOMExMANSFIELD TOWN AWAY
0.40SCORED A GAME1.601.50CONCEDED A GAME2.4020%CLEAN SHEETS10%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.60CARDS A GAME2.20
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
PORT VALE 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.71POINTS A GAME1.14-0.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.43+0.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.00.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.07LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
93%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
PORT VALE OR DRAW
95%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
MANSFIELD TOWN OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
PORT VALExMANSFIELD TOWN
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.401.20CONCEDED A GAME2.001.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.440%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE40%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.810.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.4
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Port Vale have scored in 40% of their games.
Mansfield Town have scored in 60% of their games.
Port Vale kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Mansfield Town kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards