Match details. EFL Trophy. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Cambridge United have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W D. Northampton Town have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D D.
The numbers. Cambridge United score 1.4 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Cambridge United average 4.4 shots (2.2 on target) and 1.8 cards a game. Northampton Town score 0.5 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and six games without a goal. Northampton Town average 6.3 shots (3.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. Northampton Town's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Cambridge United to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Cambridge United the likelier winners; Cambridge United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cambridge United. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Cambridge United or Draw at 1.23, 78% on the records (Cambridge United unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home; Northampton Town failed to win 9 of 10). Backup: Under 2.5 first-half goals at 1.12. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Cambridge United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cambridge United or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cambridge United 1-0 Northampton Town (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Cambridge United or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.18
CAM 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 10 of 10 (100%)86.2%
Cambridge United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Northampton Town: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Cambridge United (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.36
CAM 4 of 6 (67%) · NOR 6 of 7 (86%)85.1%
Cambridge United won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Northampton Town lost 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 76% · won 5, refunded 2, lost 2
Double Chance: Cambridge United or DrawMAININ CODES
1.23
CAM 3 of 5 (60%) · NOR 9 of 10 (90%)83.7%
Cambridge United unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Northampton Town failed to win 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Cambridge United or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.16
CAM 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
Cambridge United scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Northampton Town trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Cambridge United or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.14
CAM 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 8 of 10 (80%)80%
Cambridge United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Northampton Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Cambridge United 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
CAM 3 of 5 (60%) · NOR 3 of 5 (60%)63.3%
Cambridge United scored first 2 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Northampton Town trailed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Cambridge United to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.79
CAM 2 of 5 (40%) · NOR 6 of 10 (60%)56.3%
Cambridge United won 2 of 5 at home · Northampton Town lost 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50%
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CAM 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 10 of 10 (100%)100%
Cambridge United: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Northampton Town: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.18
CAM 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 9 of 10 (90%)88.8%
Cambridge United: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Northampton Town: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
CAMBRIDGE UNITED GOALS
Cambridge United Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.14
CAM 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 8 of 10 (80%)80%
Cambridge United scored in 4 of 5 at home · Northampton Town conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
NORTHAMPTON TOWN GOALS
Northampton Town Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.38
CAM 9 of 10 (90%) · NOR 3 of 5 (60%)76.3%
Northampton Town scored under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Cambridge United conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%
HALVES
Under 2.5 first-half goalsBACKUPPAGE ONLY
1.12
CAM 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 9 of 10 (90%)93.3%
Cambridge United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Northampton Town: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.22
CAM 5 of 5 (100%) · NOR 8 of 10 (80%)86.7%
Cambridge United: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Northampton Town: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
CAM 4 of 5 (80%) · NOR 6 of 10 (60%)68.3%
Cambridge United: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Northampton Town: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Cambridge United or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Cambridge United or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–013.6%
Cambridge United goals →
Northampton Town goals ↓
0-012%
1-014%
2-010%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-19%
1-114%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-24%
1-26%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.5%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.3%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CAMBRIDGE UNITEDDWDWDWLLDW1.60 PPG
NORTHAMPTON TOWNLLWDDLLDLL0.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CAMBRIDGE UNITED HOMExNORTHAMPTON TOWN AWAY
1.70SCORED A GAME0.501.30CONCEDED A GAME1.300%CLEAN SHEETS20%0.00CORNERS A GAME4.781.80CARDS A GAME2.11
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
NORTHAMPTON TOWN 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.62POINTS A GAME0.71+0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.29+0.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.88LEAGUE GAMES7
Cambridge United: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CAMBRIDGE UNITED OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
NORTHAMPTON TOWN OR DRAW
57%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CAMBRIDGE UNITEDxNORTHAMPTON TOWN
5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME0.601.20CONCEDED A GAME0.802.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%100%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Cambridge United have scored in 90% of their games.
Northampton Town have scored in 40% of their games.
Cambridge United kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Northampton Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards