BFBLA

19:00Tue 6 Oct

CRE

Blackpool FC vs Crewe Alexandra

CLASS D

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. EFL Trophy. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. Blackpool FC have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Crewe Alexandra have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D D.

The numbers. Blackpool FC score two and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Blackpool FC average 7.5 shots (3.2 on target) and 1.7 cards a game. Crewe Alexandra score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Crewe Alexandra average 7.7 shots (2.8 on target) and 1.2 cards a game.

The case against. Crewe Alexandra's record still gives them 37% to win.

The read. Blackpool FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Crewe Alexandra the likelier winners; Crewe Alexandra are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Blackpool FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Blackpool FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Blackpool FC 2-1 Crewe Alexandra (7% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Blackpool FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRE 8 of 10 (80%)92.5%

Blackpool FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Crewe Alexandra: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Blackpool FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.21

BLA 4 of 5 (80%) · CRE 4 of 10 (40%)65%

Blackpool FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Crewe Alexandra: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRE 9 of 10 (90%)96.2%

Blackpool FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Crewe Alexandra: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.21

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRE 8 of 10 (80%)92.5%

Blackpool FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Crewe Alexandra: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.66

BLA 4 of 5 (80%) · CRE 4 of 10 (40%)65%

Blackpool FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Crewe Alexandra: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

BLACKPOOL FC GOALS

Blackpool FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRE 8 of 10 (80%)86.2%

Blackpool FC scored in 5 of 5 at home · Crewe Alexandra conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

CREWE ALEXANDRA GOALS

Crewe Alexandra Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 64%

1.57

BLA 9 of 10 (90%) · CRE 4 of 5 (80%)83.8%

Crewe Alexandra scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Blackpool FC conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.31

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRE 8 of 10 (80%)88.3%

Blackpool FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Crewe Alexandra: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.15

BLA 5 of 5 (100%) · CRE 6 of 10 (60%)80%

Blackpool FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Crewe Alexandra: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (Blackpool FC are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Blackpool FC are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 7.1%

Blackpool FC goals →

Crewe Alexandra goals ↓

0-04%

1-05%

2-04%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-16%

1-111%

2-17%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-29%

2-27%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-34%

1-36%

2-34%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-42%

1-43%

2-42%

3-40.9%

4-40.3%

5-40.1%

0-50.7%

1-51.0%

2-50.7%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

BLACKPOOL FCLLDLLWLWDW1.10 PPG

CREWE ALEXANDRAWDWDDDDDLW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

BLACKPOOL FC HOMExCREWE ALEXANDRA AWAY

1.90SCORED A GAME1.602.10CONCEDED A GAME1.1010%CLEAN SHEETS20%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.70CARDS A GAME1.20

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.14POINTS A GAME1.67+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.44-2.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.90.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES9

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

55%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

BLACKPOOL FC OR DRAW

76%

NO · 80/85

CREWE ALEXANDRA OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

BLACKPOOL FCxCREWE ALEXANDRA

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.402.20CONCEDED A GAME1.004.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.4100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%100%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE100%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.212.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Blackpool FC have scored in 100% of their games.

Crewe Alexandra have scored in 90% of their games.

Blackpool FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Crewe Alexandra kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards