Match details. Liga de Ascenso, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Adr Jicaral are 3rd on 18 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, level on points with Santa Ana. A win would take them above Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. AD Cofutpa are 14th on 4 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Guadalupe FC. A win would take them above Guadalupe FC.
Form. Adr Jicaral have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W. AD Cofutpa have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D L.
The numbers. Adr Jicaral score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Adr Jicaral average 13.8 shots (6.5 on target), 7.9 corners and 3.5 cards a game. AD Cofutpa score 0.8 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. AD Cofutpa average 8.8 shots (3.2 on target), 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Adr Jicaral have won seven, drawn two and lost one. Five of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, Adr Jicaral won four. The last time they met, on 17 Aug 2026, it finished Adr Jicaral 1-0 AD Cofutpa.
The read. Adr Jicaral to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Adr Jicaral the likelier winners; Adr Jicaral are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Adr Jicaral; the meetings favour Adr Jicaral. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.20, 78% on the records (Adr Jicaral: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; AD Cofutpa: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). The safer one: AD Cofutpa Under 1.5 Goals at 1.13 (95%). Full cover: AD Cofutpa Under 1.5 Goals at 1.13. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Adr Jicaral or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Adr Jicaral 2-1 AD Cofutpa (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).