Match details. Prva Liga. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
Form. FK Jedinstvo UB have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. Gfk Dubocica have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L.
The numbers. FK Jedinstvo UB score 1.6 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FK Jedinstvo UB average 5.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Gfk Dubocica score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Gfk Dubocica average 4.4 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
The case against. FK Jedinstvo UB's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Gfk Dubocica to win. An open game. Gfk Dubocica are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Gfk Dubocica. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Jedinstvo UB 1-2 Gfk Dubocica (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).