VLVIG

14:00Sun 4 Oct

ASD

Vigor Lamezia vs ASD Castrumfavara

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Serie D, Group I, Group I - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Vigor Lamezia are 16th on 2 points after 5 games, level on points with Ragusa, 1 point clear of Enna. A win would take them above Ragusa. ASD Castrumfavara are 12th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Siracusa, level on points with Modica. A win would take them above Siracusa.

Form. Vigor Lamezia have won one, drawn six and lost three of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D D L. ASD Castrumfavara have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L W.

The numbers. Vigor Lamezia score 1.2 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Vigor Lamezia average 7.5 shots (3.0 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.0 cards a game. ASD Castrumfavara score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Vigor Lamezia have won none, drawn one and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 15 Mar 2026, it finished Vigor Lamezia 1-2 ASD Castrumfavara.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: ASD Castrumfavara or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); ASD Castrumfavara or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Castrumfavara or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Vigor Lamezia 1-2 ASD Castrumfavara (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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VIG 8 of 9 (89%) · ASD 9 of 9 (100%)94.4%

Vigor Lamezia: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Vigor Lamezia: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Vigor Lamezia's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

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VIG 7 of 9 (78%) · ASD 5 of 9 (56%)66.7%

Vigor Lamezia: both scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara: both scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Vigor Lamezia: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Vigor Lamezia's level

VIGOR LAMEZIA GOALS

Vigor Lamezia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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VIG 7 of 9 (78%) · ASD 7 of 9 (78%)77.8%

Vigor Lamezia scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · ASD Castrumfavara conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · Vigor Lamezia: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Vigor Lamezia's level

ASD CASTRUMFAVARA GOALS

ASD Castrumfavara Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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VIG 7 of 9 (78%) · ASD 8 of 9 (89%)83.3%

ASD Castrumfavara scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Vigor Lamezia conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · ASD Castrumfavara: only games against sides at Vigor Lamezia's level · Vigor Lamezia: only games against sides at ASD Castrumfavara's level

Left off the list: ASD Castrumfavara or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); ASD Castrumfavara or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); ASD Castrumfavara or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 8.9%

Vigor Lamezia goals →

ASD Castrumfavara goals ↓

0-06%

1-07%

2-05%

3-02%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-18%

1-112%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-33%

1-35%

2-33%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-42%

2-41%

3-40.6%

4-40.2%

5-40.1%

0-50.4%

1-50.6%

2-50.4%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

VIGOR LAMEZIADDDWDLDDLL0.90 PPG

ASD CASTRUMFAVARAWWWDLWLDLL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

VIGOR LAMEZIA HOMExASD CASTRUMFAVARA AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.601.70CONCEDED A GAME1.3010%CLEAN SHEETS20%20%FAILED TO SCORE40%

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

VIGOR LAMEZIA 0 · 0%DRAW 1ASD CASTRUMFAVARA 1 · 50%

2025-11-02Vigor Lamezia 1 – 1 ASD Castrumfavara

2026-03-15Vigor Lamezia 1 – 2 ASD Castrumfavara

TRENDS

Vigor Lamezia have scored in 80% of their games.

ASD Castrumfavara have scored in 70% of their games.

Vigor Lamezia kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

ASD Castrumfavara kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards