Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 5. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Debibi United FC are 14th on 4 points after 4 games, 1 point behind Swedru All Blacks, level on points with Berekum Chelsea. A win would take them above Swedru All Blacks. Medeama SC are 1st on 8 points after 4 games, level on points with Hearts of Oak.
Form. Debibi United FC have won one, drawn two and lost two of their last five, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D D. Medeama SC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L.
The numbers. Debibi United FC score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet. Debibi United FC average 5.0 shots (2.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game. Medeama SC score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Medeama SC average 8.7 shots (2.1 on target), 5.0 corners and 0.9 cards a game.
The read. Medeama SC to win. An open game. Medeama SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Medeama SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 69%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Medeama SC or Over 2.5 Goals (the tipsters back Debibi United FC, one team per match); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Medeama SC Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Debibi United FC 1-2 Medeama SC (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).