SSSHO

16:00Sun 4 Oct

NAS

Shooting Stars vs Nasarawa United

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Lekan Salami Stadium, Ibadan.

What's at stake. Shooting Stars are 16th on 6 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Warri Wolves, 1 point clear of Niger Tornadoes. A win would take them above Warri Wolves. Nasarawa United are 14th on 7 points after 6 games, level on points with Ranchers Bees, level on points with Warri Wolves. A win would take them above Ranchers Bees.

Form. Shooting Stars have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Nasarawa United have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.

The numbers. Shooting Stars score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Shooting Stars average 6.7 shots (2.0 on target), 3.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Nasarawa United score one and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Nasarawa United average 11.2 shots (3.8 on target), 5.3 corners and 1.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings Shooting Stars have won five, drawn one and lost four. One of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Shooting Stars won two, one was drawn and Nasarawa United won one. The last time they met, on 3 May 2026, it finished Shooting Stars 3-2 Nasarawa United.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.

The case against. Nasarawa United's record still gives them 32% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The read. Shooting Stars to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Shooting Stars the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Shooting Stars. Nine of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Shooting Stars or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Nasarawa United or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Shooting Stars 2-0 Nasarawa United (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SHO 7 of 8 (88%) · NAS 5 of 5 (100%)96.5%

Shooting Stars: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · Shooting Stars: only games against sides at Nasarawa United's level · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Shooting Stars's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SHO 6 of 8 (75%) · NAS 4 of 5 (80%)85.2%

Shooting Stars: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · Shooting Stars: only games against sides at Nasarawa United's level · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Shooting Stars's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.32

SHO 5 of 8 (62%) · NAS 3 of 5 (60%)70.7%

Shooting Stars: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 71% · H2H 5 of 6 · Shooting Stars: only games against sides at Nasarawa United's level · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Shooting Stars's level

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SHO 3 of 5 (60%) · NAS 5 of 6 (83%)71.7%

Shooting Stars's games: over 1.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Nasarawa United's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Shooting Stars: only games against sides at Nasarawa United's level · Nasarawa United: only games against sides at Shooting Stars's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Shooting Stars or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Nasarawa United or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–0 10.4%

Shooting Stars goals →

Nasarawa United goals ↓

0-05%

1-09%

2-010%

3-07%

4-04%

5-02%

0-14%

1-110%

2-110%

3-17%

4-14%

5-11%

0-22%

1-25%

2-25%

3-23%

4-22%

5-20.7%

0-30.7%

1-31%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.2%

1-40.4%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.1%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SHOOTING STARSWWLWWLLWLL1.50 PPG

NASARAWA UNITEDWLWLLWLDLW1.30 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SHOOTING STARS HOMExNASARAWA UNITED AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.201.40CONCEDED A GAME1.4030%CLEAN SHEETS40%20%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.50CORNERS A GAME5.331.50CARDS A GAME1.33

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.20POINTS A GAME1.17-0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.33–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.45LEAGUE GAMES6

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

74%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SHOOTING STARS OR DRAW

96%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

NASARAWA UNITED OR DRAW

14%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SHOOTING STARSxNASARAWA UNITED

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.003.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SHOOTING STARS 5 · 50%DRAW 1NASARAWA UNITED 4 · 40%

2 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2017-03-26Shooting Stars 0 – 1 Nasarawa United

2017-08-20Shooting Stars 2 – 0 Nasarawa United

2022-03-20Shooting Stars 1 – 0 Nasarawa United

2022-04-03Shooting Stars 0 – 2 Nasarawa United

2023-02-05Shooting Stars 2 – 0 Nasarawa United

2023-04-29Shooting Stars 0 – 1 Nasarawa United

2024-09-08Shooting Stars 1 – 1 Nasarawa United

2025-01-29Shooting Stars 2 – 0 Nasarawa United

TRENDS

Shooting Stars have scored in 70% of their games.

Nasarawa United have scored in 90% of their games.

Shooting Stars kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Nasarawa United kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards