Match details. Philippines Footb. League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 10:45 Lagos time.
Form. Davao Aguilas have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W L. In this competition Davao Aguilas have gone W D D W L W. Tuloy FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W D.
The numbers. Davao Aguilas score 1.3 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Davao Aguilas average 10.8 shots (3.7 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Tuloy FC score 2.7 and concede 3.3 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets. Tuloy FC average 10.0 shots (5.9 on target), 2.4 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
Head to head. Davao Aguilas have won all of the last four meetings. Four of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 8 Mar 2026, it finished Davao Aguilas 7-2 Tuloy FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: Davao Aguilas are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Davao Aguilas are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Davao Aguilas; the meetings favour Davao Aguilas. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Four of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.21, 77% on the records (Davao Aguilas: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 10; Tuloy FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: Tuloy FC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.50. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Davao Aguilas 2-1 Tuloy FC (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).