NICNCA

03:00Mon 5 Oct

DOM

Nicaragua vs Dominican Republic

CLASS A

THE READ

Match details. We're looking at a CONCACAF Nations League League A, 1 clash at the Nicaragua National Football Stadium in Managua. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 03:00 Lagos time. Both sides will be keen to start strong.

Form. Nicaragua have only one win, one draw and eight defeats in their last ten, that's 0.4 points a game. Their last five run reads L L L L W. The Dominican Republic sit better with five wins, one draw and four losses in ten, 1.6 points a game. Their recent five are L W W D L.

The numbers. Nicaragua average 0.7 goals for and 2.7 against per game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and five goalless matches. They manage about 6.6 shots, 2.2 on target, 3.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, holding 42% of possession. The Dominican Republic score 2.6 and concede 2.2 in their last five away, without a clean sheet. They average 14.2 shots, 4.9 on target, 6.6 corners and 2.5 cards, with 48% of possession.

Head to head. In the last three meetings Nicaragua have one win, one draw and one loss. One of those three games went over 2.5 goals and both sides hit the net in one. The most recent clash on 25 Sep 2026 ended Nicaragua 2-3 Dominican Republic; Nicaragua managed nine shots to 27, held 48% of the ball and saw eight yellow cards.

Where it pulls both ways. Both teams' goal stats suggest an open game. Their recent records give a 71% chance of over 2.5 goals. Still, two of the last three meetings finished under 2.5.

The case against. Nicaragua's history still leaves them with about a 40% chance to win.

The read. Dominican Republic to win. Dominican Republic are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Dominican Republic.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Nicaragua or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Dominican Republic); Nicaragua or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Dominican Republic). Predicted score: Nicaragua 0-1 Dominican Republic (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Dominican Republic or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NCA 5 of 5 (100%) · DOM 10 of 10 (100%)88.8%

Dominican Republic: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Nicaragua: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

Double Chance: Nicaragua or Dominican RepublicLEANHELD · the odds board 83%

1.21

NCA 9 of 10 (90%) · DOM 5 of 5 (100%)61%

Nicaragua: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dominican Republic: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

Dominican Republic or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.31

NCA 5 of 5 (100%) · DOM 8 of 10 (80%)58%

Dominican Republic: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Nicaragua: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 1 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.23

NCA 7 of 10 (70%) · DOM 2 of 5 (40%)89.8%

Nicaragua: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dominican Republic: under 4.5 goals in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 56% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.22

NCA 10 of 10 (100%) · DOM 5 of 5 (100%)75.5%

Nicaragua: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dominican Republic: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · H2H 2 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

DOMINICAN REPUBLIC GOALS

Dominican Republic Over 0.5 goalsPAGE ONLY

1.10

NCA 5 of 5 (100%) · DOM 9 of 10 (90%)72.7%

Dominican Republic scored in 5 of 5 away · Nicaragua conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 1 of 3 · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5LEANPAGE ONLY

1.15

NCA 9 of 10 (90%) · DOM 5 of 5 (100%)69%

Nicaragua: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dominican Republic: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 88% · H2H 1 of 3 · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NCA 7 of 10 (70%) · DOM 7 of 9 (78%)71.6%

Nicaragua's games: over 8.5 corners in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dominican Republic's games: over 8.5 corners in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

NCA 8 of 10 (80%) · DOM 4 of 5 (80%)78.1%

Nicaragua's games: over 2.5 cards in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Dominican Republic's games: over 2.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

Left off the list: Nicaragua or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Dominican Republic); Nicaragua or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs Dominican Republic)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.8%

Nicaragua goals →

Dominican Republic goals ↓

0-07%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

NICARAGUALDLLLWLLLL0.40 PPG

DOMINICAN REPUBLICWWLWLLDWWL1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

NICARAGUA HOMExDOMINICAN REPUBLIC AWAY

0.70SCORED A GAME2.802.70CONCEDED A GAME1.8010%CLEAN SHEETS20%33%FAILED TO SCORE0%3.90CORNERS A GAME6.562.10CARDS A GAME2.50

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 3

NICARAGUA 1 · 33%DRAW 1DOMINICAN REPUBLIC 1 · 33%

1 of 3BOTH TEAMS SCORED

2 of 3OVER 1.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 3OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-09-08Nicaragua 2 – 0 Dominican Republic

2023-11-22Nicaragua 0 – 0 Dominican Republic

2026-09-25Nicaragua 2 – 3 Dominican Republic

TRENDS

Nicaragua have scored in 50% of their games.

Dominican Republic have scored in 90% of their games.

Nicaragua kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

Dominican Republic kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards