Costa Rica vs Haiti
Match details. This is a CONCACAF Nations League League A, 1 clash on Mon 5 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time. It will be played at Estadio Ricardo Saprissa Aymá in San Jose.
Form. Costa Rica have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five are W L L D L. Haiti have won six, drawn none and lost four of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five are W W W L L.
The numbers. Costa Rica score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 13.6 shots (5.9 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 53% of the ball. Haiti score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. They average 8.9 shots (3.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, also with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings Costa Rica have won two, drawn three and lost three. Two of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four meetings two were drawn and Haiti won two. The last meeting on 27 Sep 2026 ended Costa Rica 0-2 Haiti, with Costa Rica having 21 shots to 7, 56% of the ball and six yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%; six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Costa Rica's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: six of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Haiti to win. An open game. Haiti are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Haiti. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Costa Rica or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs Haiti); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Costa Rica 1-2 Haiti (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).