Aruba vs Anguilla
Match details. The match is a CONCACAF Nations League League C - 2 clash. Kick-off is Mon 5 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time. It's at Sir Vivian Richards Stadium, Antigua.
Form. Aruba have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game, with a streak of five wins in their last five; in this competition they have gone W W L L. Anguilla have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game, and have lost their last five.
The numbers. At home in the last five Aruba score 1.8 and concede 1.6 a game, keeping one clean sheet and being shut out twice. They average 13.8 shots (5.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 49% possession. Away, Anguilla score 0.2 and concede 4.4 a game, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 3.2 shots (1.0 on target), 2.1 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 31% possession.
Head to head. The last meeting on 29 Sep 2026 ended 2-0 to Aruba. Aruba had 26 shots to 5, 78% possession and two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. The odds board makes it 97% against the records' 75%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records also put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The read. No firm call: Aruba are the better side, but not at this price. A draw is live. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Aruba the likelier winners; Aruba are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Aruba.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Aruba 2-0 Anguilla (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).