Peterborough United vs Ipswich Town U21
Match details. EFL Trophy, Group South - 4. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at ABAX Stadium, Peterborough.
Form. Peterborough United have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L D L. In this competition Peterborough United have gone W. Ipswich Town U21 have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W. In this competition Ipswich Town U21 have gone L.
The numbers. Peterborough United score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Peterborough United average 15.5 shots (4.1 on target), 4.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 56% of the ball. Ipswich Town U21 score 1.9 and concede four a game in their last seven away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 85% against the records' 54%.
The read. No firm call: Peterborough United are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Peterborough United the likelier winners; Peterborough United are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Peterborough United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Peterborough United 2-1 Ipswich Town U21 (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).