DRDON

19:00Tue 6 Oct

LIV

Doncaster Rovers vs Liverpool U21

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. EFL Trophy, Group North - 8. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Keepmoat Stadium, Doncaster.

Form. Doncaster Rovers have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition Doncaster Rovers have gone L. Liverpool U21 have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D L.

The numbers. Doncaster Rovers score one and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Doncaster Rovers average 14.0 shots (4.4 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball. Liverpool U21 score 2.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 18% against the records' 58%.

The read. No firm call: Liverpool U21 are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Liverpool U21 the likelier winners; Liverpool U21 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liverpool U21. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Doncaster Rovers 1-2 Liverpool U21 (9% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Liverpool U21 or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DON 9 of 10 (90%) · LIV 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%

Liverpool U21: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%

Liverpool U21 win or both teams scoreIN CODES

1.31

DON 8 of 10 (80%) · LIV 4 of 5 (80%)80%

Liverpool U21: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

Liverpool U21 or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.26

DON 7 of 10 (70%) · LIV 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%

Liverpool U21: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DON 4 of 5 (80%) · LIV 10 of 10 (100%)91.7%

Doncaster Rovers: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Liverpool U21: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%

Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DON 4 of 5 (80%) · LIV 9 of 10 (90%)85%

Doncaster Rovers: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Liverpool U21: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.35

DON 3 of 5 (60%) · LIV 7 of 10 (70%)65%

Doncaster Rovers: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Liverpool U21: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.45

DON 4 of 5 (80%) · LIV 6 of 10 (60%)68.3%

Doncaster Rovers: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · Liverpool U21: both scored in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

DONCASTER ROVERS GOALS

Doncaster Rovers Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

DON 4 of 5 (80%) · LIV 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Doncaster Rovers scored in 4 of 5 at home · Liverpool U21 conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

LIVERPOOL U21 GOALS

Liverpool U21 Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.31

DON 8 of 10 (80%) · LIV 4 of 5 (80%)80%

Liverpool U21 scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Doncaster Rovers conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80%

HALVES

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

DON 4 of 5 (80%) · LIV 8 of 10 (80%)78.3%

Doncaster Rovers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Liverpool U21: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–2 9.2%

Doncaster Rovers goals →

Liverpool U21 goals ↓

0-03%

1-03%

2-02%

3-01.0%

4-00.3%

5-00.1%

0-15%

1-18%

2-15%

3-12%

4-10.8%

5-10.2%

0-27%

1-29%

2-26%

3-23%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-35%

1-37%

2-35%

3-32%

4-30.7%

5-30.2%

0-43%

1-44%

2-43%

3-41%

4-40.4%

5-40.1%

0-52%

1-52%

2-51%

3-50.6%

4-50.2%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

DONCASTER ROVERSWLDLDDLLLW0.90 PPG

LIVERPOOL U21WWWWLLDWLW1.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

DONCASTER ROVERS HOMExLIVERPOOL U21 AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME2.501.60CONCEDED A GAME1.6020%CLEAN SHEETS20%29%FAILED TO SCORE25%

TRENDS

Doncaster Rovers failed to score in 29% of their games.

Liverpool U21 failed to score in 25% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAcornerscards