EDGE PICKBristol Rovers Over 0.5 goals · 73.8% · @1.32
Book 76% · Us 74%-2price too short
Backed by
Bristol Rovers scored in 3 of 5 away · Wycombe Wanderers conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%
· main loses on: 0-1, 0-2, 1-2, 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6 and 43 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. EFL Trophy. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Wycombe Wanderers have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D. Bristol Rovers have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L W.
The numbers. Wycombe Wanderers score 1.8 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Wycombe Wanderers average 6.3 shots (3.2 on target) and 1.1 cards a game. Bristol Rovers score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Bristol Rovers average 10.2 shots (3.7 on target) and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. Bristol Rovers's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. Wycombe Wanderers to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Wycombe Wanderers the likelier winners; Wycombe Wanderers are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wycombe Wanderers. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%.
The bets. Best bet: Wycombe Wanderers or Draw at 1.24, 75% on the records (Wycombe Wanderers unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Bristol Rovers failed to win 4 of 5 away). Full cover: Bristol Rovers Over 0.5 Goals at 1.31. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Bristol Rovers Under 1.5 goals (Wycombe Wanderers's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Wycombe Wanderers 2-1 Bristol Rovers (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.16
WYC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%
Wycombe Wanderers scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away
Wycombe Wanderers or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WYC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 5 of 5 (100%)91.3%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Wycombe Wanderers or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
1.11
WYC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 4 of 5 (80%)77.5%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Wycombe Wanderers or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.23
WYC 4 of 5 (80%) · BRI 4 of 5 (80%)68.8%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
Double Chance: Wycombe Wanderers or DrawMAININ CODES
1.24
WYC 4 of 5 (80%) · BRI 4 of 5 (80%)68.8%
Wycombe Wanderers unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers failed to win 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
Wycombe Wanderers 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
WYC 3 of 5 (60%) · BRI 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
Wycombe Wanderers scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers trailed in 4 of 5 away
Wycombe Wanderers (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.38
WYC 3 of 5 (60%) · BRI 4 of 5 (80%)65.1%
Wycombe Wanderers won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Bristol Rovers lost 4 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 52% · won 5, refunded 3, lost 2
Wycombe Wanderers or Draw & Over 1.5LEANIN CODES
1.38
WYC 4 of 5 (80%) · BRI 4 of 5 (80%)55%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
1X2 - 2UP: Wycombe WanderersLEANPAGE ONLY
1.70
WYC 2 of 5 (40%) · BRI 2 of 5 (40%)53.3%
Wycombe Wanderers scored first 3 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 2 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers trailed by 2 or lost in 4 of 5 away
Wycombe Wanderers to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
1.82
WYC 1 of 5 (20%) · BRI 4 of 5 (80%)46.9%
Wycombe Wanderers won 1 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers lost 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 35%
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WYC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
Wycombe Wanderers: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.17
WYC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 5 of 5 (100%)83.8%
Wycombe Wanderers: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.58
WYC 4 of 5 (80%) · BRI 3 of 5 (60%)55%
Wycombe Wanderers: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
WYC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 2 of 5 (40%)57.5%
Wycombe Wanderers: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: both scored in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
WYCOMBE WANDERERS GOALS
Wycombe Wanderers Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.12
WYC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRI 4 of 5 (80%)77.5%
Wycombe Wanderers scored in 5 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Wycombe Wanderers Over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
WYC 3 of 5 (60%) · BRI 4 of 5 (80%)47.5%
Wycombe Wanderers scored over 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 50%
BRISTOL ROVERS GOALS
Bristol Rovers Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.32
WYC 3 of 5 (60%) · BRI 5 of 5 (100%)73.8%
Bristol Rovers scored in 3 of 5 away · Wycombe Wanderers conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
WYC 4 of 5 (80%) · BRI 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
Wycombe Wanderers: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Bristol Rovers: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bristol Rovers Under 1.5 goals (Wycombe Wanderers's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.4%
Wycombe Wanderers goals →
Bristol Rovers goals ↓
0-04%
1-07%
2-07%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.8%
0-15%
1-111%
2-19%
3-16%
4-13%
5-11%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.7%
0-32%
1-33%
2-33%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-40.6%
1-41%
2-41%
3-40.6%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
WYCOMBE WANDERERSDWWWDLLDDD1.40 PPG
BRISTOL ROVERSLWLLWWWDWL1.60 PPG
THE NUMBERS
WYCOMBE WANDERERS HOMExBRISTOL ROVERS AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.601.80CONCEDED A GAME1.6010%CLEAN SHEETS40%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.10CARDS A GAME2.20
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.25POINTS A GAME1.67-0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-1.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.71.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.28LEAGUE GAMES9
Bristol Rovers: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
56%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 85/90
WYCOMBE WANDERERS OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
BRISTOL ROVERS OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
WYCOMBE WANDERERSxBRISTOL ROVERS
5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME0.602.00CONCEDED A GAME1.604.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.6–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Wycombe Wanderers have scored in 100% of their games.
Bristol Rovers have scored in 80% of their games.
Wycombe Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Bristol Rovers kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards