ENGLAND - EFL TROPHY
19:00Tue 6 Oct
PLY
PA
Newport County vs Plymouth Argyle
CLASS D
THE BETSTRONG · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
80
DOUBLE CHANCE
Class D
Double Chance: Draw or Plymouth…
Newport County v Plymouth Argyle
1.16odds
86%book
-6edge
2/2angles
THE READ
Match details. EFL Trophy. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Newport County have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D D. Plymouth Argyle have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W W.
The numbers. Newport County score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Newport County average 5.9 shots (2.7 on target) and 1.8 cards a game. Plymouth Argyle score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Plymouth Argyle average 9.8 shots (3.6 on target) and 1.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The case against. Newport County's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Plymouth Argyle to win. Plymouth Argyle are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Plymouth Argyle.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Plymouth Argyle at 1.19, 73% on the records (Plymouth Argyle unbeaten in 4 of 5 away; Newport County failed to win 7 of 10). Full cover: Newport County Over 0.5 Goals at 1.37. It wins on every score where the best bet loses. Predicted score: Newport County 1-2 Plymouth Argyle (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Plymouth Argyle or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 5 of 5 (100%) · PLY 8 of 10 (80%)85%
Plymouth Argyle: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Newport County: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Double Chance: Draw or Plymouth ArgyleMAININ CODES
1.16
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · PLY 7 of 10 (70%)80%
Plymouth Argyle unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Newport County failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Plymouth Argyle or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.11
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · PLY 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
Plymouth Argyle scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Newport County trailed or failed to win in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Plymouth Argyle win or both teams scoreHELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · PLY 6 of 10 (60%)71.2%
Plymouth Argyle: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Newport County: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Plymouth Argyle (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
NEW 6 of 9 (67%) · PLY 3 of 6 (50%)68.7%
Plymouth Argyle won 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Newport County lost 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · won 3, refunded 3, lost 3
Plymouth Argyle 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · PLY 4 of 5 (80%)66.7%
Plymouth Argyle scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 away · Newport County trailed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Plymouth Argyle or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
NEW 3 of 5 (60%) · PLY 6 of 10 (60%)58.8%
Plymouth Argyle: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Newport County: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%
Plymouth Argyle or draw and over 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.34
NEW 4 of 10 (40%) · PLY 4 of 5 (80%)56.2%
Newport County: the bet landed in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55%
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 9 of 10 (90%) · PLY 4 of 5 (80%)87.5%
Newport County: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NEW 8 of 10 (80%) · PLY 5 of 5 (100%)86.2%
Newport County: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.25
NEW 9 of 10 (90%) · PLY 3 of 5 (60%)81.2%
Newport County: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
NEW 7 of 10 (70%) · PLY 5 of 5 (100%)75%
Newport County: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.55
NEW 5 of 10 (50%) · PLY 3 of 5 (60%)46.2%
Newport County: both scored in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: both scored in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 50%
NEWPORT COUNTY GOALS
Newport County Over 0.5 goalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.38
NEW 7 of 10 (70%) · PLY 4 of 5 (80%)61.2%
Newport County scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE GOALS
Plymouth Argyle Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 92%
1.09
NEW 4 of 5 (80%) · PLY 6 of 10 (60%)71.2%
Plymouth Argyle scored in 4 of 5 away · Newport County conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.15
NEW 8 of 10 (80%) · PLY 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
Newport County: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.25
NEW 5 of 10 (50%) · PLY 4 of 5 (80%)65%
Newport County: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Plymouth Argyle: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.7%
Newport County goals →
Plymouth Argyle goals ↓
0-06%
1-07%
2-05%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-18%
1-112%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-29%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-33%
1-34%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.5%
2-50.3%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
NEWPORT COUNTYDWWDDLLDLW1.30 PPG
PLYMOUTH ARGYLEWLWWWWLWLD1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NEWPORT COUNTY HOMExPLYMOUTH ARGYLE AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME2.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.3040%CLEAN SHEETS30%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.78CARDS A GAME1.30
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.22POINTS A GAME1.78+0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.56-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.61.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.49LEAGUE GAMES9
Plymouth Argyle: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
51%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
83%
NO · 85/90
NEWPORT COUNTY OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
PLYMOUTH ARGYLE OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NEWPORT COUNTYxPLYMOUTH ARGYLE
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME2.400.60CONCEDED A GAME1.001.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES4.0–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Newport County have scored in 70% of their games.
Plymouth Argyle have scored in 80% of their games.
Newport County kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Plymouth Argyle kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards