Match details. EFL Trophy. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Grimsby Town have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W W. Burton Albion have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D L.
The numbers. Grimsby Town score 1.6 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Grimsby Town average 6.7 shots (3.2 on target) and 1.3 cards a game. Burton Albion score 1.5 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet. Burton Albion average 6.6 shots (2.6 on target) and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. Burton Albion's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Grimsby Town to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Grimsby Town the likelier winners; Grimsby Town are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The bets. Best bet: Grimsby Town or Draw at 1.42, 73% on the records (Grimsby Town unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Burton Albion failed to win 7 of 10). Backup: Grimsby Town Over 0.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Grimsby Town or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Burton Albion Over 0.5 goals (Grimsby Town's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Grimsby Town (Draw No Bet) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Grimsby Town 2-1 Burton Albion (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Grimsby Town or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
1.18
GRI 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 9 of 10 (90%)81.6%
Grimsby Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Grimsby Town or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRI 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 9 of 10 (90%)81.6%
Grimsby Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
Grimsby Town or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.28
GRI 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Grimsby Town scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Burton Albion trailed or failed to win in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
Grimsby Town or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
GRI 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 7 of 10 (70%)72.9%
Grimsby Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Double Chance: Grimsby Town or DrawMAININ CODES
1.42
GRI 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 7 of 10 (70%)70.4%
Grimsby Town unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Burton Albion failed to win 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
Grimsby Town 1UPIN CODES
1.60
GRI 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 4 of 5 (80%)70%
Grimsby Town scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Burton Albion trailed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues)
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
GRI 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 10 of 10 (100%)86%
Grimsby Town: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Burton Albion: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.20
GRI 4 of 5 (80%) · BUR 9 of 10 (90%)74.4%
Grimsby Town: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Burton Albion: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
GRI 2 of 5 (40%) · BUR 8 of 10 (80%)55.4%
Grimsby Town: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Burton Albion: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%
GRIMSBY TOWN GOALS
Grimsby Town Over 0.5 goalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.19
GRI 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 9 of 10 (90%)81.6%
Grimsby Town scored in 5 of 5 at home · Burton Albion conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%
HALVES
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.30
GRI 5 of 5 (100%) · BUR 7 of 10 (70%)81.7%
Grimsby Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Burton Albion: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores
Left off the list: Grimsby Town or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Burton Albion Over 0.5 goals (Grimsby Town's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Grimsby Town (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (62%) and the records (50%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–19.3%
Grimsby Town goals →
Burton Albion goals ↓
0-07%
1-09%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-112%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-26%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.5%
5-30.2%
0-40.5%
1-40.9%
2-40.7%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
GRIMSBY TOWNLLLWWDDDDW1.30 PPG
BURTON ALBIONLWDDLDWLWD1.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GRIMSBY TOWN HOMExBURTON ALBION AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.501.20CONCEDED A GAME1.6040%CLEAN SHEETS10%0.00CORNERS A GAME0.001.30CARDS A GAME1.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME1.33+0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.11+1.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.09LEAGUE GAMES9
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
GRIMSBY TOWN OR DRAW
68%
NO · 80/85
BURTON ALBION OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GRIMSBY TOWNxBURTON ALBION
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME1.201.20CONCEDED A GAME2.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%5.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.813.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Grimsby Town have scored in 90% of their games.
Burton Albion have scored in 90% of their games.
Grimsby Town kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Burton Albion kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards