Match details. EFL Trophy. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Fleetwood Town have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Barnsley FC have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L L.
The numbers. Fleetwood Town score 1.8 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. Fleetwood Town average 8.3 shots (3.6 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Barnsley FC score 1.6 and concede 2.1 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Barnsley FC average 8.0 shots (3.4 on target) and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The case against. Fleetwood Town's record still gives them 45% to win.
The read. Barnsley FC or the draw. Fleetwood Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fleetwood Town.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Barnsley FC (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Barnsley FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLE 8 of 10 (80%) · BAR 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fleetwood Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%
Barnsley FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
FLE 7 of 10 (70%) · BAR 2 of 5 (40%)62.5%
Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Fleetwood Town: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65%
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLE 5 of 5 (100%) · BAR 7 of 10 (70%)96.1%
Fleetwood Town: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Barnsley FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FLE 5 of 5 (100%) · BAR 9 of 10 (90%)87.9%
Fleetwood Town: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Barnsley FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95%
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.37
FLE 5 of 5 (100%) · BAR 6 of 10 (60%)84.2%
Fleetwood Town: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Barnsley FC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
FLE 4 of 5 (80%) · BAR 8 of 10 (80%)68.4%
Fleetwood Town: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Barnsley FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%
FLEETWOOD TOWN GOALS
Fleetwood Town Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.30
FLE 5 of 5 (100%) · BAR 9 of 10 (90%)67.5%
Fleetwood Town scored in 5 of 5 at home · Barnsley FC conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85%
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.16
FLE 4 of 5 (80%) · BAR 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%
Fleetwood Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.36
FLE 4 of 5 (80%) · BAR 7 of 10 (70%)73.3%
Fleetwood Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Barnsley FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.2%
Fleetwood Town goals →
Barnsley FC goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.9%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.8%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
FLEETWOOD TOWNLLLLWDWDDW1.20 PPG
BARNSLEY FCLDDLLWWWDL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FLEETWOOD TOWN HOMExBARNSLEY FC AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.601.10CONCEDED A GAME2.1030%CLEAN SHEETS10%4.44CORNERS A GAME0.002.22CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
NO PRICE YET
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.11POINTS A GAME1.14-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.71+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.40.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.49LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
65%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 85/90
FLEETWOOD TOWN OR DRAW
72%
NO · 80/85
BARNSLEY FC OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FLEETWOOD TOWNxBARNSLEY FC
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME2.202.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES14.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Fleetwood Town have scored in 80% of their games.
Barnsley FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Fleetwood Town kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Barnsley FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards