Matebele vs Tonota FC
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Matebele are 16th on 0 points after 3 games, level on points with Prisons XI. A win would take them above Prisons XI. Tonota FC are 5th on 5 points after 3 games, level on points with Enesia, 1 point clear of Township Rollers. A win would take them above Enesia.
Form. Matebele have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Tonota FC have won one, drawn two and lost none of their last three, 1.7 points a game. Their last three, newest first: D D W.
The numbers. Matebele score one and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Matebele average 12.2 shots (5.8 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Tonota FC score one and concede 0.7 a game over their last three, with one clean sheet. Tonota FC average 1.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Matebele 1-1 Tonota FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).