FC Fakel Voronezh vs FC Vitebsk
Match details. It's an international friendly. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. The game takes place at Central'nyi Stadion Profsoyuzov, Voronezh.
What's at stake. It's a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. FC Fakel Voronezh have won none, drawn three and lost seven of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L D. FC Vitebsk have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. Fakel score 0.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. They average 8.7 shots (2.0 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 43% of the ball. Vitebsk score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. They average 4.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 52% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The odds board makes it 22% against the records' 63%.
The read. No firm call: FC Vitebsk are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Vitebsk are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Vitebsk. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Fakel Voronezh or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Vitebsk); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: FC Fakel Voronezh 0-0 FC Vitebsk (16% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).