Kazakhstan vs Faroe Islands

Match details. It's a UEFA Nations League League C - 4 fixture. Kick-off is Tue 6 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. The game is at Astana Arena.

What's at stake. Kazakhstan sit fourth with one point from three games, two points behind the Faroe Islands. A win would lift them above the Faroe Islands. The Faroe Islands sit third on three points, one point off Moldova and two points clear of Kazakhstan; a win would push them past Moldova.

Form. Kazakhstan have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, averaging 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W. The Faroe Islands have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, averaging 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D W L.

The numbers. At home in their last six, Kazakhstan score 1.5 and concede 0.7 a game, with three clean sheets. They average 10.1 shots (3.7 on target), 5.7 corners and 3.0 cards a game, holding 49% of possession. Away in their last five, the Faroe Islands score 0.8 and concede one a game, with two clean sheets. They average 8.3 shots (3.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 35% possession.

Head to head. The last meeting on 26 Sep 2026 ended 1-1. Kazakhstan had 10 shots to 14, 58% possession and two yellow cards.

The case against. The Faroe Islands still only have a 33% chance to win.

The read. Kazakhstan or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 31%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.21, 83% on the records (Kazakhstan: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Faroe Islands: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Kazakhstan or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Kazakhstan or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Kazakhstan 1-0 Faroe Islands (14% chance).