Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F Marinos
Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Yanmar Hanasaka Stadium, Osaka.
What's at stake. Cerezo Osaka are 11th on 11 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Urawa, 1 point clear of Shimizu S-pulse. A win would take them above Urawa. Yokohama F Marinos are 6th on 14 points after 8 games, 3 points behind FC Tokyo, 1 point clear of Kawasaki Frontale. A win would take them level on points with FC Tokyo.
Form. Cerezo Osaka have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L D. Yokohama F Marinos have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W.
The numbers. Cerezo Osaka score 1.6 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Cerezo Osaka average 11.0 shots (3.9 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 57% of the ball. Yokohama F Marinos score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Yokohama F Marinos average 9.2 shots (3.1 on target), 3.4 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Cerezo Osaka have won three, drawn three and lost four. Seven of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Cerezo Osaka won one, one was drawn and Yokohama F Marinos won two. The last time they met, on 30 Nov 2025, it finished Cerezo Osaka 1-3 Yokohama F Marinos: Cerezo Osaka had 14 shots to 13, 62% of the ball, five yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%; seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Cerezo Osaka's record still gives them 24% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: seven of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The read. Yokohama F Marinos to win. A tight game. Yokohama F Marinos are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Yokohama F Marinos. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.46, 77% on the records (Cerezo Osaka: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; Yokohama F Marinos: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.18. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Yokohama F Marinos or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Cerezo Osaka 0-1 Yokohama F Marinos (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).