Match details. Erovnuli Liga, Regular Season - 22. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Mikheil Meskhi Stadium, Tbilisi.
What's at stake. FC Iberia 1999 are 2nd on 46 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Dinamo Batumi, level on points with Rustavi. A win would take them above Dinamo Batumi. FC Dinamo Tbilisi are 4th on 45 points after 26 games, 1 point behind Rustavi, 5 points clear of Dila. A win would take them above Rustavi.
Form. FC Iberia 1999 have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. In this competition FC Iberia 1999 have gone W W W L W L. FC Dinamo Tbilisi have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition FC Dinamo Tbilisi have gone W W D D W L.
The numbers. FC Iberia 1999 score 1.5 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. FC Iberia 1999 average 14.4 shots (5.6 on target), 6.6 corners and 3.6 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. FC Dinamo Tbilisi score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Dinamo Tbilisi average 11.6 shots (4.6 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 53% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Iberia 1999 have won six, drawn one and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, FC Iberia 1999 won two, one was drawn and FC Dinamo Tbilisi won one. The last time they met, on 27 Jun 2026, it finished FC Iberia 1999 1-0 FC Dinamo Tbilisi.
Where it pulls both ways. FC Dinamo Tbilisi are the form side, but the meetings favour FC Iberia 1999: in the last ten meetings, FC Iberia 1999 won six, FC Dinamo Tbilisi won three and one was drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%; six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The read. No side to back. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: FC Iberia 1999 or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Dinamo Tbilisi or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Dinamo Tbilisi or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: FC Iberia 1999 1-1 FC Dinamo Tbilisi (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).