FC Viktoria Cologne vs Cologne
Match details. It's an international friendly on Sat 3 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time at Sportpark Höhenberg, Köln.
What's at stake. It's a friendly, so no points ride on it.
Form. Viktoria Cologne have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five are W W W L W. Cologne have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five are L D L W W.
The numbers. At home Viktoria Cologne score 2.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five, with two clean sheets. They average 12.2 shots (5.5 on target), 5.5 corners and 1.9 cards a game, holding 55% of the ball. Away Cologne score 1.3 and concede 2.5 a game in their last six, with no clean sheets. They average 14.8 shots (5.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game, holding 50% of the ball.
Where it pulls both ways. The odds board makes it 22% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: FC Viktoria Cologne are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Viktoria Cologne the likelier winners; FC Viktoria Cologne are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Viktoria Cologne. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 86%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Cologne or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Viktoria Cologne); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Viktoria Cologne 2-1 Cologne (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).