Genk vs Fortuna Sittard
Match details. Genk host Fortuna Sittard in an international friendly at the Cegeka Arena. This one kicks off on Sat 3 Oct at 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Since this is a friendly, there are no points on the line.
Form. Genk have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten matches, averaging 1.4 points a game. Their recent form is a bit mixed, going L D D W D in their last five. Fortuna Sittard have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, picking up 1.6 points a game. They come into this after a W L W W L run.
The numbers. Over their last ten, Genk are scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.2 goals a game, keeping five clean sheets but failing to score in four. They average 13.8 shots with 4.9 on target, 3.8 corners and 2.0 cards, holding 52% of the ball. Fortuna Sittard score 1.8 and concede 1.6 on the road over their last five, keeping one clean sheet. They average 10.5 shots with 4.2 on target, 2.5 corners, 1.8 cards and 36% of the ball.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Genk or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Fortuna Sittard or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Genk 2-1 Fortuna Sittard (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).