TDTIG

01:00Sun 4 Oct

HOP

Tigres de Alica FC vs H2O Purepechas FC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. Tigres de Alica FC are 8th on 8 points after 5 games, 1 point behind Los Cabos United, 1 point clear of Montañeses. A win would take them above Los Cabos United. H2O Purepechas FC are 17th on 1 point after 4 games, level on points with Cordobés, level on points with Inter Playa del Carmen. A win would take them above Cordobés.

Form. Tigres de Alica FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W W. H2O Purepechas FC have won none, drawn one and lost three of their last four league games, 0.2 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: L L L D.

The numbers. Tigres de Alica FC score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Tigres de Alica FC average 4.9 shots (1.1 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.3 cards a game. H2O Purepechas FC score 0.2 and concede 1.5 a game over their last four, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. H2O Purepechas FC average 9.0 shots (3.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.

The read. Tigres de Alica FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Tigres de Alica FC the likelier winners; Tigres de Alica FC are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Tigres de Alica FC 1-0 H2O Purepechas FC (13% chance).

The agreed story. Tigres de Alica FC or the draw, a tight game.

The league run. Tigres de Alica FC: no win in their last three league games (D D L W W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

No pick fits the read on this match.

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 12.7%

Tigres de Alica FC goals →

H2O Purepechas FC goals ↓

0-09%

1-013%

2-011%

3-06%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-17%

1-112%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-23%

1-25%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.3%

0-30.9%

1-31%

2-31%

3-30.6%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.2%

1-40.3%

2-40.3%

3-40.1%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.1%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

TIGRES DE ALICA FCWWWLWWWLDD2.00 PPG

H2O PUREPECHAS FCDLLL0.25 PPG

THE NUMBERS

TIGRES DE ALICA FC HOMExH2O PUREPECHAS FC AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME0.251.10CONCEDED A GAME1.5020%CLEAN SHEETS0%0%FAILED TO SCORE75%5.43CORNERS A GAME5.001.29CARDS A GAME2.67

THE BANK

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

32%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

98%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

TIGRES DE ALICA FC OR DRAW

87%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

H2O PUREPECHAS FC OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 4 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

TRENDS

Tigres de Alica FC have scored in 90% of their games.

H2O Purepechas FC have scored in 25% of their games.

Tigres de Alica FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

H2O Purepechas FC kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards