Guyana vs Dominica
Match details. This is a CONCACAF Nations League, League B - 1 clash. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 20:00 Lagos time. It's at Estadio Centroamericano de Mayaguez.
Form. Guyana have seven wins, no draws and three losses from their last ten, that's 2.1 points a game. Their last five are W W W W L. Dominica have one win, two draws and seven defeats in their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their recent five read L L D L W.
The numbers. Guyana average 2.4 goals for and 1.5 against in their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal; they fire 11.2 shots (4.5 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game and keep 61% of the ball. Dominica score 0.4 and concede two in their last five away, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal; they average 13.3 shots (3.3 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game and hold 38% of possession.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Guyana have won two and drawn one, losing none. One game went over 2.5 goals and both sides scored in another. The most recent clash on 1 Oct 2026 ended Guyana 5-1 Dominica, with Guyana tallying 16 shots to 12, 64% of the ball and three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Their goals for and against suggest an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Guyana to win. A draw is live. An open game. Their goals for and against make Guyana the likelier winners; Guyana are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Guyana; the meetings favour Guyana. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 54%.
The bets. Best bet: Guyana Win & Over 1.5 at 1.12, 70% on the records (Guyana: the bet landed in 6 of 10; Dominica: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away). Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Guyana are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Guyana are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Guyana 4-0 Dominica (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).