Match details. First Division, Regular Season - 35. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Turners Cross, Cork.
What's at stake. Cork City FC are 1st on 71 points after 34 games, 18 points clear of Bray Wanderers. Finn Harps FC are 10th on 25 points after 34 games, 11 points behind Treaty United. Finn Harps FC have nothing left to play for.
Form. Cork City FC have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L D. In this competition Cork City FC have gone L L W L D W. Finn Harps FC have won one, drawn none and lost nine of their last ten, 0.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. In this competition Finn Harps FC have gone L L L W L L.
The numbers. Cork City FC score three and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Cork City FC average 6.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Finn Harps FC score 1.6 and concede 3.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Finn Harps FC average 3.3 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Cork City FC have won six, drawn three and lost none. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Cork City FC won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 31 Jul 2026, it finished Cork City FC 3-0 Finn Harps FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Cork City FC to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Cork City FC the likelier winners; Cork City FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Cork City FC; the meetings favour Cork City FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 82%.
The bets. Best bet: Finn Harps FC Under 1.5 Goals at 1.18, 72% on the records (Finn Harps FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away; Cork City FC conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home). Backup: Cork City FC or Draw & Over 1.5 at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (Cork City FC are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Cork City FC are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Cork City FC 2-1 Finn Harps FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).