Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Onesio Brasileiro Alvarenga, Goiania. The referee is Maguielson Lima Barbosa.
What's at stake. Vila Nova FC GO are 2nd on 57 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Juventude, 3 points clear of Novorizontino. A win would take them above Juventude. Cuiaba EC MT are 10th on 46 points after 31 games, 2 points behind Operario-PR, 1 point clear of Goias. A win would take them above Operario-PR.
Form. Vila Nova FC GO have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Vila Nova FC GO have gone W W W D W L. Cuiaba EC MT have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D W. In this competition Cuiaba EC MT have gone W L W D W L.
The numbers. Vila Nova FC GO score 2.6 and concede none a game in their last five at home, with five clean sheets. Vila Nova FC GO average 14.1 shots (4.8 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 46% of the ball. Cuiaba EC MT score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Cuiaba EC MT average 16.2 shots (4.4 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 49% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Vila Nova FC GO have won three, drawn two and lost five. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, one was drawn and Cuiaba EC MT won three. The last time they met, on 14 Jun 2026, it finished Vila Nova FC GO 0-1 Cuiaba EC MT: Vila Nova FC GO had 10 shots to 7, 49% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. Vila Nova FC GO are the form side, but the meetings favour Cuiaba EC MT: in the last ten meetings, Vila Nova FC GO won three, Cuiaba EC MT won five and two were drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 74% on the records (Vila Nova FC GO: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Cuiaba EC MT: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.28. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Vila Nova FC GO or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Cuiaba EC MT or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Vila Nova FC GO 1-1 Cuiaba EC MT (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).