Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Thu 8 Oct, 00:30 Lagos time.
Form. America FC MG have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Fortaleza EC CE have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D W.
The numbers. America FC MG score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. America FC MG average 5.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Fortaleza EC CE score 1.2 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Fortaleza EC CE average 5.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
The read. Fortaleza EC CE to win. A tight game. Fortaleza EC CE are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Fortaleza EC CE. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 78% on the records (America FC MG: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Fortaleza EC CE: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Fortaleza EC CE 1UP (the signs point different ways); Fortaleza EC CE or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways); Fortaleza EC CE or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: America FC MG 0-1 Fortaleza EC CE (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Fortaleza EC CE or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.17
AME 9 of 10 (90%) · FOR 4 of 5 (80%)86.7%
Fortaleza EC CE: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at America FC MG's level · America FC MG: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level
Double Chance: Draw or Fortaleza EC CELEANHELD · the odds board 80%
1.25
AME 10 of 10 (100%) · FOR 3 of 5 (60%)58.3%
Fortaleza EC CE unbeaten in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at America FC MG's level · America FC MG: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.09
AME 5 of 5 (100%) · FOR 10 of 10 (100%)90.4%
America FC MG: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at America FC MG's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.28
AME 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 9 of 10 (90%)77.9%
America FC MG: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at America FC MG's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
AME 3 of 5 (60%) · FOR 8 of 10 (80%)57%
America FC MG: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at America FC MG's level
AMERICA FC MG GOALS
America FC MG Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.31
AME 3 of 5 (60%) · FOR 9 of 10 (90%)61.8%
America FC MG scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · America FC MG: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at America FC MG's level
FORTALEZA EC CE GOALS
Fortaleza EC CE Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
AME 9 of 10 (90%) · FOR 4 of 5 (80%)65.9%
Fortaleza EC CE scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · America FC MG conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at America FC MG's level · America FC MG: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level
Left off the list: Fortaleza EC CE 1UP (the numbers (46%) and the records (73%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Fortaleza EC CE or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (47%) and the records (68%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Fortaleza EC CE or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (64%) and the records (87%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19%
America FC MG goals →
Fortaleza EC CE goals ↓
0-010%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AMERICA FC MGLLLLWLWLLL0.60 PPG
FORTALEZA EC CEDDWDWWDWDD1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AMERICA FC MG HOMExFORTALEZA EC CE AWAY
0.68SCORED A GAME1.161.68CONCEDED A GAME0.8730%BOTH SCORED60%10%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.42CORNERS A GAME5.482.03CARDS A GAME2.42
TRENDS
America FC MG have scored in 40% of their games.
Fortaleza EC CE have scored in 90% of their games.
America FC MG kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Fortaleza EC CE kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards