Match details. Brasileiro Serie B, Regular Season - 32. Kick-off is Wed 7 Oct, 01:35 Lagos time. It is played at Moisés Lucarelli, Campinas. The referee is Arthur Gomes Rabelo.
What's at stake. AA Ponte Preta SP are 20th on 13 points after 31 games, 4 points behind America Mineiro. EC Juventude RS are 2nd on 56 points after 31 games, 1 point behind Vila Nova, 2 points clear of Novorizontino. A win would take them above Vila Nova.
Form. AA Ponte Preta SP have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. EC Juventude RS have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.
The numbers. AA Ponte Preta SP score 0.2 and concede 2.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and eight games without a goal. AA Ponte Preta SP average 9.2 shots (2.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 36% of the ball. EC Juventude RS score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with four clean sheets. EC Juventude RS average 14.9 shots (4.5 on target), 4.1 corners and 2.5 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings AA Ponte Preta SP have won one, drawn two and lost four. Three of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, two were drawn and EC Juventude RS won two. The last time they met, on 14 Jun 2026, it finished AA Ponte Preta SP 0-3 EC Juventude RS: AA Ponte Preta SP had 6 shots to 26, 38% of the ball, four yellow cards.
The read. EC Juventude RS to win. A tight game. EC Juventude RS are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour EC Juventude RS; the meetings favour EC Juventude RS. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Four of the last seven meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.37, 76% on the records (AA Ponte Preta SP: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; EC Juventude RS: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.11. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: EC Juventude RS or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); EC Juventude RS or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AA Ponte Preta SP 0-1 EC Juventude RS (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).