Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. AD Rosario have won three, drawn two and lost four of their last nine, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. Quepos Cambute have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. AD Rosario score 1.2 and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AD Rosario average 9.0 shots (4.2 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Quepos Cambute score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Quepos Cambute average 9.9 shots (4.9 on target), 5.2 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Quepos Cambute are the stronger side on form and the table, but both teams' records favour AD Rosario.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Quepos Cambute or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Quepos Cambute or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Quepos Cambute 1UP (no result call). Predicted score: AD Rosario 1-1 Quepos Cambute (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADR 7 of 7 (100%) · QUE 5 of 5 (100%)100%
AD Rosario: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Quepos Cambute: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Quepos Cambute's level · Quepos Cambute: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.15
ADR 6 of 7 (86%) · QUE 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
AD Rosario: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Quepos Cambute: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Quepos Cambute's level · Quepos Cambute: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.42
ADR 6 of 7 (86%) · QUE 4 of 5 (80%)78.8%
AD Rosario: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Quepos Cambute: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 83% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Quepos Cambute's level · Quepos Cambute: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
AD ROSARIO GOALS
AD Rosario Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
ADR 4 of 7 (57%) · QUE 2 of 5 (40%)53.1%
AD Rosario scored under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Quepos Cambute conceded under 1.5 in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Quepos Cambute's level · Quepos Cambute: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
QUEPOS CAMBUTE GOALS
Quepos Cambute Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.20
ADR 3 of 5 (60%) · QUE 7 of 7 (100%)85.4%
Quepos Cambute scored in 3 of 5 away · AD Rosario conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Quepos Cambute: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Quepos Cambute's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADR 5 of 5 (100%) · QUE 8 of 8 (100%)100%
AD Rosario's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Quepos Cambute's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AD Rosario: only games against sides at Quepos Cambute's level · Quepos Cambute: only games against sides at AD Rosario's level
Left off the list: Quepos Cambute or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Quepos Cambute or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Quepos Cambute 1UP (no result call); Quepos Cambute or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Quepos Cambute (Draw No Bet) (no result call); Quepos Cambute or draw and under 3.5 goals (no result call); Quepos Cambute win or both teams score (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.4%
AD Rosario goals →
Quepos Cambute goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AD ROSARIODLLLWWLWD1.22 PPG
QUEPOS CAMBUTEWLWLWDWLWW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD ROSARIO HOMExQUEPOS CAMBUTE AWAY
1.22SCORED A GAME1.501.44CONCEDED A GAME0.9011%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.80CORNERS A GAME5.253.40CARDS A GAME4.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
NO PRICE YET
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME2.00+0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.80-4.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.05LEAGUE GAMES5
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
AD ROSARIO OR DRAW
80%
OKAY · 80/85
QUEPOS CAMBUTE OR DRAW
43%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AD ROSARIOxQUEPOS CAMBUTE
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME0.603.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%100%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AD Rosario have scored in 78% of their games.
Quepos Cambute have scored in 80% of their games.
AD Rosario kept a clean sheet in 11% of their games.
Quepos Cambute kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards