Match details. Liga Primera Premier. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Lobos Ulmx have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Tritones Vallarta MFC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L L.
The numbers. Lobos Ulmx score 1.1 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Lobos Ulmx average 6.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game. Tritones Vallarta MFC score 0.5 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Tritones Vallarta MFC average 2.8 shots (0.8 on target), 3.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36, rated 85% (Lobos Ulmx: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; Tritones Vallarta MFC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 away). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Lobos Ulmx 1-1 Tritones Vallarta MFC (14% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Tritones Vallarta MFC the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).