Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Deportiva Venados
Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sun 4 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Inter Playa Del Carmen are 18th on 1 point after 4 games, level on points with H2O Purepechas. A win would take them above H2O Purepechas. Deportiva Venados are 10th on 5 points after 4 games, 2 points behind Montañeses, 1 point clear of Jaguares de Chiapas. A win would take them above Montañeses.
Form. Inter Playa Del Carmen have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L. Deportiva Venados have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W D D.
The numbers. Inter Playa Del Carmen score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Inter Playa Del Carmen average 7.6 shots (2.6 on target), 2.8 corners and 4.0 cards a game. Deportiva Venados score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Deportiva Venados average 10.2 shots (6.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 29% against the records' 57%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Inter Playa Del Carmen 1-1 Deportiva Venados (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Inter Playa Del Carmen the favourite), goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).