Match details. Promotion League. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Grand-Saconnex have won seven, drawn none and lost three of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Juventus Zurich have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W L.
The numbers. FC Grand-Saconnex score 2.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. FC Grand-Saconnex average 8.4 shots (4.8 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Juventus Zurich score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Juventus Zurich average 7.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
The case against. Juventus Zurich's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. FC Grand-Saconnex to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Grand-Saconnex the likelier winners; FC Grand-Saconnex are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Grand-Saconnex. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15, 82% on the records (FC Grand-Saconnex: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; Juventus Zurich: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10). Backup: FC Grand-Saconnex or Juventus Zurich at 1.23. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Juventus Zurich or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs FC Grand-Saconnex); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Juventus Zurich or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs FC Grand-Saconnex). Predicted score: FC Grand-Saconnex 2-1 Juventus Zurich (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).