HNK Capljina vs Tomislav Tomislavgrad
Match details. Prva Liga, Fed BiH, FBiH - 8. Kick-off is Sat 3 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. HNK Capljina are 16th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Rudar Kakanj. A win would take them above Rudar Kakanj. Tomislav Tomislavgrad are 13th on 5 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Budućnost Banovići, 1 point clear of Radnik Hadžići. A win would take them above Budućnost Banovići.
Form. HNK Capljina have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Tomislav Tomislavgrad have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L L.
The numbers. HNK Capljina score 1.3 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets. HNK Capljina average 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Tomislav Tomislavgrad score 1.8 and concede 2.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tomislav Tomislavgrad average 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. HNK Capljina's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Tomislav Tomislavgrad to win. An open game. Tomislav Tomislavgrad are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Tomislav Tomislavgrad. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 86%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or Tomislav Tomislavgrad at 1.55, 73% on the records (Tomislav Tomislavgrad unbeaten in 6 of 10; HNK Capljina failed to win 6 of 7). Leave: Tomislav Tomislavgrad or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Tomislav Tomislavgrad Over 1.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Tomislav Tomislavgrad to Win (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: HNK Capljina 1-2 Tomislav Tomislavgrad (8% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).