Umraniyespor vs Sariyer SK
Match details. 1. Lig, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Fri 9 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Umraniyespor are 16th on 6 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Sivasspor, 1 point clear of Esenler Erokspor. A win would take them above Sivasspor. Sariyer SK are 5th on 14 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Batman Petrolspor, 1 point clear of Keçiörengücü. A win would take them above Batman Petrolspor.
Form. Umraniyespor have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. Sariyer SK have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L W W.
The numbers. Umraniyespor score 0.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Umraniyespor average 9.7 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 48% of the ball. Sariyer SK score 1.3 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Sariyer SK average 9.2 shots (4.3 on target), 3.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last four meetings Umraniyespor have won three, drawn none and lost one. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 6 Mar 2026, it finished Umraniyespor 2-1 Sariyer SK: Umraniyespor had 7 shots to 9, 42% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Umraniyespor's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Sariyer SK to win. A tight game. Sariyer SK are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sariyer SK. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 76% on the records (Umraniyespor: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Sariyer SK: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Backup: Under 1.5 first-half goals at 1.35. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Sariyer SK or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Umraniyespor 0-1 Sariyer SK (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).